Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 95.879019 106.637758 117.599027 129.571764 142.251198 155.250626 169.556811
2025-02-23 78.941459 94.438852 110.884055 129.513317 149.913681 171.465958 195.849121
2025-03-02 68.528949 86.655662 106.480906 129.527885 155.349573 183.174539 215.215201
2025-03-09 60.931632 80.978114 103.493158 130.248928 160.796625 194.242323 233.294089
2025-03-16 53.579372 74.795493 99.246076 128.908911 163.365931 201.633897 246.865869
2025-03-23 49.096713 71.558269 98.025337 130.695633 169.187071 212.428687 264.036302
2025-03-30 45.436647 68.978180 97.296549 132.805759 175.171927 223.246701 281.104324
2025-04-06 40.815858 64.819676 94.350179 132.002286 177.518000 229.701409 293.038198
2025-04-13 35.838635 59.818796 90.047727 129.275448 177.343778 233.035239 301.208908
2025-04-20 34.361127 59.324307 91.309226 133.296444 185.196891 245.729964 320.228422
2025-04-27 32.385587 57.995878 91.385561 135.748978 191.083325 256.062708 336.469325
2025-05-04 29.328407 54.943683 89.052644 135.026697 192.978775 261.571335 346.980580
2025-05-11 26.330157 51.797759 86.481417 133.932966 194.397163 266.536081 356.924431
2025-05-18 24.334676 49.976864 85.584418 134.918834 198.350404 274.528311 370.465933
2025-05-25 22.132880 47.673408 83.899170 134.769798 200.797485 280.636263 381.715064
2025-06-01 20.414355 45.983631 82.966069 135.534016 204.341202 288.042953 394.501665
2025-06-08 18.191677 43.308982 80.510262 134.157404 205.071718 291.939837 403.012289
2025-06-15 17.077779 42.363648 80.468717 135.988152 209.888146 300.855002 417.595991
2025-06-22 16.136895 41.635961 80.694606 138.149128 215.112528 310.270409 432.796249
2025-06-29 14.486228 39.539295 78.804364 137.326309 216.400090 314.752378 441.956568
2025-07-06 12.500987 36.646136 75.578699 134.533405 215.015117 315.824196 446.886097
2025-07-13 12.272905 36.990038 77.279223 138.651628 222.753005 328.367858 465.938769
2025-07-20 11.697744 36.624048 77.855020 141.162890 228.355534 338.225941 481.698347